Fuenlabrada vs Colonia Moscardó: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 · Matchday 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fernando Torres, Fuenlabrada
The Footlab AI model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Colonia Moscardó. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fuenlabrada wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,206 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fuenlabrada vs Colonia Moscardó?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Fuenlabrada (1,873) and Colonia Moscardó (1,894).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fuenlabrada vs Colonia Moscardó
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fuenlabrada
Not enough data to predict the Fuenlabrada lineup.
Colonia Moscardó
4-3-3- 9Dani Segovia
- SSamu Guillén
- 19Dzhoshkun Temenuzhkov Mihaylov
- 10Crespo
- MM. Sennouni
- 22Julio Cidoncha
- 20M. Télis
- NNacho Recalde
- 3Borja Paris
- MMiguel García
- 13Guille Pérez
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 05:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fuenlabrada have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Colonia Moscardó have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Aranjuez(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Aranjuez(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Fuenlabrada win, 0 draws, 1 Colonia Moscardó win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó 3-0 Fuenlabrada | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Fuenlabrada 3-0 Colonia Moscardó | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fuenlabrada score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Colonia Moscardó score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Colonia Moscardó | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fuenlabrada sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (13 points from 10 matches) and Colonia Moscardó sit 3rd (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Colonia Moscardó | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 18 |
| 11 | Fuenlabrada | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 13 |
A question about Fuenlabrada vs Colonia Moscardó?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fuenlabrada vs Colonia Moscardó?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Colonia Moscardó.
- Where and when is Fuenlabrada vs Colonia Moscardó played?
- Fuenlabrada vs Colonia Moscardó is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fernando Torres, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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