Match

Fuenlabrada vs Colonia Moscardó: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fernando Torres, Fuenlabrada

FuenlabradaColonia Moscardó

The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Colonia Moscardó. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fuenlabrada vs Colonia Moscardó?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Fuenlabrada (1,786) and Colonia Moscardó (1,765).

Fuenlabrada win41 %
Draw27 %
Colonia Moscardó win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fuenlabrada have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Colonia Moscardó have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fuenlabrada
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Navalcarnero(away)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Socuéllamos(away)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026RSD Alcalá(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Quintanar del Rey(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Colonia Moscardó
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Intercity(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Navalcarnero(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 14, 2026Real Madrid III(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026Orihuela(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Getafe II(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Fuenlabrada win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Colonia Moscardó win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 7, 2026Colonia Moscardó 3-0 FuenlabradaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 30, 2025Fuenlabrada 3-0 Colonia MoscardóSegunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fuenlabrada score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fuenlabrada0.81.537/157/15
Colonia Moscardó1.11.355/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fuenlabrada vs Colonia Moscardó?
The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Colonia Moscardó.
Where and when is Fuenlabrada vs Colonia Moscardó played?
Fuenlabrada vs Colonia Moscardó is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fernando Torres, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fuenlabrada and Colonia Moscardó

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