Match

Real Aranjuez vs Cala Pozuelo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Deleite, Aranjuez

Real AranjuezCala Pozuelo

The Footlab model makes Cala Pozuelo the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Aranjuez vs Cala Pozuelo?

Cala Pozuelo starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,703 vs 1,540).

Real Aranjuez win35 %
Draw27 %
Cala Pozuelo win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Aranjuez have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Cala Pozuelo have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Aranjuez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 23, 2023Madrid 2021 FP(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 16, 2023RSC Internacional(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 6, 2023Trival Valderas(home)1-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 2, 2023Rayo Vallecano II(away)0-6Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 26, 2023Galapagar(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Cala Pozuelo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 11, 2025Alcorcón II(home)4-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 4, 2025Galapagar(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 27, 2025Torrejón(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 17, 2025Trival Valderas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 13, 2025RSD Alcalá(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

How many goals should we expect?

Real Aranjuez score 0.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cala Pozuelo score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Aranjuez0.62.244/156/15
Cala Pozuelo1.41.337/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Aranjuez vs Cala Pozuelo?
The Footlab model makes Cala Pozuelo the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Real Aranjuez vs Cala Pozuelo played?
Real Aranjuez vs Cala Pozuelo is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Deleite, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Real Aranjuez and Cala Pozuelo

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