Real Aranjuez vs Cala Pozuelo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Deleite, Aranjuez
The Footlab model makes Cala Pozuelo the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Aranjuez vs Cala Pozuelo?
Cala Pozuelo starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,703 vs 1,540).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Aranjuez have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Cala Pozuelo have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2023 | Madrid 2021 FP(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | RSC Internacional(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 6, 2023 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 0-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Galapagar(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Alcorcón II(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 4, 2025 | Galapagar(away) | 5-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Torrejón(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Aranjuez score 0.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cala Pozuelo score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Aranjuez | 0.6 | 2.2 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Cala Pozuelo | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Aranjuez vs Cala Pozuelo?
- The Footlab model makes Cala Pozuelo the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Real Aranjuez.
- Where and when is Real Aranjuez vs Cala Pozuelo played?
- Real Aranjuez vs Cala Pozuelo is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Deleite, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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