Las Rozas vs Rayo Vallecano II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, Las Rozas de Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Las Rozas wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,834 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Rozas vs Rayo Vallecano II?
Las Rozas starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,832 vs 1,693).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Las Rozas vs Rayo Vallecano II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Las Rozas
Not enough data to predict the Las Rozas lineup.
Rayo Vallecano II
4-3-3- EE. Eto'o Pineda
- SSergio Alonso
- PPablo Prieto
- 19Aitor González
- JJuanchi
- JJuan Ybarra
- DDiego Robles
- ÁÁlvaro Baladía
- VVíctor Revuelto
- 26Marco de las Sías
- 30Juanpe
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Rozas have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Rayo Vallecano II have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | SS Reyes II(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | RC Alcobendas(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Galapagar(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | SS Reyes II(away) | 3-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | RC Alcobendas(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Las Rozas wins, 2 draws, 2 Rayo Vallecano II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Las Rozas 2-2 Rayo Vallecano II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Rayo Vallecano II 3-2 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Las Rozas 3-0 Rayo Vallecano II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Rayo Vallecano II 3-1 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Las Rozas 2-2 Rayo Vallecano II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Rayo Vallecano II 0-1 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Las Rozas vs Rayo Vallecano II on May 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Las Rozas score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano II score 0.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Rozas | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Rayo Vallecano II | 0.9 | 2.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Rozas sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (14 points from 7 matches) and Rayo Vallecano II sit 16th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Rozas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 14 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano II | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Las Rozas vs Rayo Vallecano II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Rozas vs Rayo Vallecano II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Rayo Vallecano II.
- Where and when is Las Rozas vs Rayo Vallecano II played?
- Las Rozas vs Rayo Vallecano II is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 10, 2027FuenlabradavsColonia Moscardó
- Jan 10, 2027Alcobendas SportvsMóstoles
- Jan 10, 2027Pozuelo AlarcónvsLeganés II
- Jan 10, 2027TorrejónvsSS Reyes II
- Jan 10, 2027Unión AdarvevsTrival Valderas
- Jan 10, 2027Real AranjuezvsCala Pozuelo
- Jan 10, 2027Villanueva PardillovsRC Alcobendas
- Jan 10, 2027Parla EscuelavsGalapagar