Where and when is Las Rozas vs Rayo Vallecano II played?

Las Rozas vs Rayo Vallecano II is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Las Rozas vs Rayo Vallecano II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, Las Rozas de Madrid

Las Rozas

Rayo Vallecano II

The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Las Rozas vs Rayo Vallecano II?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Las Rozas (1,780) and Rayo Vallecano II (1,714).

Las Rozas win47 %

Draw26 %

Rayo Vallecano II win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Rozas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Rayo Vallecano II have 1, 1 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Las Rozas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 7, 2026	Trival Valderas(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026	Trival Valderas(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026	Torrejón(away)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026	Torrejón(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026	Galapagar(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Rayo Vallecano II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Rayo Majadahonda(away)	0-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Socuéllamos(home)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026	RSD Alcalá(away)	0-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026	Intercity(home)	3-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 4, 2026	Elche II(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Las Rozas win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Rayo Vallecano II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 4, 2025	Las Rozas 2-2 Rayo Vallecano II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 22, 2024	Rayo Vallecano II 3-2 Las Rozas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 23, 2024	Las Rozas 3-0 Rayo Vallecano II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 5, 2023	Rayo Vallecano II 3-1 Las Rozas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 5, 2023	Las Rozas 2-2 Rayo Vallecano II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 30, 2022	Rayo Vallecano II 0-1 Las Rozas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Las Rozas vs Rayo Vallecano II on May 4, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano II score 0.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Las Rozas	1.7	1.5	5	8/15	9/15
Rayo Vallecano II	0.6	2.3	1	6/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Las Rozas	34	16	8	10	58	42	56

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Las Rozas vs Rayo Vallecano II?: The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Rayo Vallecano II.
Where and when is Las Rozas vs Rayo Vallecano II played?: Las Rozas vs Rayo Vallecano II is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.