Where and when is Unión Sur Yaiza vs Playas Sotavento played?

Unión Sur Yaiza vs Playas Sotavento is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Yaiza, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unión Sur Yaiza vs Playas Sotavento: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Yaiza, Yaiza (Lanzarote)

Unión Sur Yaiza

Playas Sotavento

The Footlab model makes Unión Sur Yaiza the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Playas Sotavento. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unión Sur Yaiza vs Playas Sotavento?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Unión Sur Yaiza (1,711) and Playas Sotavento (1,745).

Unión Sur Yaiza win48 %

Draw28 %

Playas Sotavento win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Sur Yaiza have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Playas Sotavento have 0, 1 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unión Sur Yaiza
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Panadería Pulido(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Telde(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026	Marino(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 22, 2026	Arucas(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 19, 2026	Mensajero(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Playas Sotavento
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Oct 9, 2024	Gévora(away)	1-1	Copa del Rey

How many goals should we expect?

Unión Sur Yaiza score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Playas Sotavento score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unión Sur Yaiza	1.1	1.1	7	4/15	8/15
Playas Sotavento	1.0	1.0	0	1/1	0/1

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Unión Sur Yaiza	34	10	8	16	33	43	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unión Sur Yaiza vs Playas Sotavento?: The Footlab model makes Unión Sur Yaiza the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Playas Sotavento.
Where and when is Unión Sur Yaiza vs Playas Sotavento played?: Unión Sur Yaiza vs Playas Sotavento is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Yaiza, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.