Where and when is Playas Sotavento vs Estrella played?

Playas Sotavento vs Estrella is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Playas Sotavento vs Estrella: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Playas Sotavento

Estrella

The Footlab model makes Playas Sotavento the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Estrella. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Playas Sotavento vs Estrella?

Playas Sotavento starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,745 vs 1,598).

Playas Sotavento win50 %

Draw27 %

Estrella win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Playas Sotavento have 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Estrella have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Playas Sotavento
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Oct 9, 2024	Gévora(away)	1-1	Copa del Rey

Estrella
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Herbania(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 4, 2025	San Bartolomé(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2025	Santa Úrsula(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 17, 2025	Buzanada(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2025	Marino(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

How many goals should we expect?

Playas Sotavento score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 1; Estrella score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Playas Sotavento	1.0	1.0	0	1/1	0/1
Estrella	0.9	1.0	5	7/15	4/15

Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Playas Sotavento vs Estrella?: The Footlab model makes Playas Sotavento the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Estrella.
Where and when is Playas Sotavento vs Estrella played?: Playas Sotavento vs Estrella is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.