Match

Playas Sotavento vs Estrella: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Playas SotaventoEstrella

The Footlab AI model makes Playas Sotavento the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Estrella. The most likely score is 1-1. If Playas Sotavento wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,855 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Playas Sotavento vs Estrella?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Playas Sotavento (1,695) and Estrella (1,626).

38%26%36%
Playas Sotavento winDrawEstrella win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Playas Sotavento vs Estrella

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Playas Sotavento

Not enough data to predict the Playas Sotavento lineup.

Estrella

4-3-3
  1. AAdrián Socorro
  2. MMarco
  3. AAlejo
  1. KKevin Suárez
  2. VVictor Jesús Lorenzo Lorenzo
  3. FFede Manzi
  1. JJaime
  2. FFran Ramírez
  3. IIan Bolaños Gracia
  4. AAythami Artiles Oliva
  1. AArturo Caballero

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:07 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Playas Sotavento have 0 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Estrella have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Playas Sotavento
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Laguna de Duero(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 10, 2026Real Unión de Tenerife(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 4, 2026Marino(away)1-6Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 26, 2026Los Llanos(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 20, 2026UD San Fernando(away)0-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Estrella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Marino(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 10, 2026Los Llanos(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 4, 2026UD San Fernando(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 25, 2026Las Palmas III(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 19, 2026San Bartolomé(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

How many goals should we expect?

Playas Sotavento score 0.7 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 7; Estrella score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Playas Sotavento0.72.904/74/7
Estrella1.11.529/156/15

Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Playas Sotavento sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (2 points from 6 matches) and Estrella sit 12th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Estrella5212797
18Playas Sotavento60244192

A question about Playas Sotavento vs Estrella?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Playas Sotavento vs Estrella?
The Footlab AI model makes Playas Sotavento the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Estrella.
Where and when is Playas Sotavento vs Estrella played?
Playas Sotavento vs Estrella is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Playas Sotavento and Estrella

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