Match

Mensajero vs Los Llanos: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Silvestre Carrillo, Santa Cruz de la Palma (La Palma)

MensajeroLos Llanos

The Footlab model makes Mensajero the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Los Llanos. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mensajero vs Los Llanos?

Mensajero starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,855 vs 1,634).

Mensajero win67 %
Draw22 %
Los Llanos win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mensajero have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Los Llanos have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mensajero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Tamaraceite(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 16, 2026Tamaraceite(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 10, 2026UD San Fernando(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026Arucas(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026Villa Santa Brígida(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Los Llanos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 11, 2025Panadería Pulido(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 4, 2025Tamaraceite(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2025Las Palmas II(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 17, 2025Herbania(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2025San Bartolomé(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Mensajero win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Los Llanos win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2025Los Llanos 0-2 MensajeroTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 3, 2024Mensajero 1-0 Los LlanosTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Aug 13, 2024Los Llanos 0-3 MensajeroFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Los Llanos vs Mensajero on Mar 15, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Mensajero score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Los Llanos score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mensajero1.30.976/155/15
Los Llanos0.91.554/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Mensajero341897513163

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mensajero vs Los Llanos?
The Footlab model makes Mensajero the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Los Llanos.
Where and when is Mensajero vs Los Llanos played?
Mensajero vs Los Llanos is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Silvestre Carrillo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mensajero and Los Llanos

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