Estrella vs Laguna de Duero: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Palmitas, Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Estrella the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Laguna de Duero. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estrella vs Laguna de Duero?
Estrella starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,620 vs 1,509).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estrella vs Laguna de Duero
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estrella
Not enough data to predict the Estrella lineup.
Laguna de Duero
Not enough data to predict the Laguna de Duero lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrella have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Laguna de Duero have 0, 3 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marino(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Los Llanos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Las Palmas III(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 3-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Estrella win, 0 draws, 0 Laguna de Duero wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Laguna de Duero 0-3 Estrella | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Laguna de Duero vs Estrella on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Estrella score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Laguna de Duero score 0.9 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrella | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Laguna de Duero | 0.9 | 2.7 | 0 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrella sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (10 points from 9 matches) and Laguna de Duero sit 17th (2 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Estrella | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| 17 | Laguna de Duero | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 2 |
A question about Estrella vs Laguna de Duero?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estrella vs Laguna de Duero?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estrella the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Laguna de Duero.
- Where and when is Estrella vs Laguna de Duero played?
- Estrella vs Laguna de Duero is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Palmitas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 14, 2027MensajerovsLos Llanos
- Mar 14, 2027LanzarotevsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Mar 14, 2027Villa Santa BrígidavsMarino
- Mar 14, 2027Unión Sur YaizavsPlayas Sotavento
- Mar 14, 2027Tenerife CvsSan Fernando CD
- Mar 14, 2027San MiguelvsSan Bartolomé
- Mar 14, 2027AnazavsLas Palmas III
- Mar 14, 2027Villaverde NortevsPanadería Pulido