Redcar Athletic vs Avro: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Green Lane, Redcar, North Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Redcar Athletic the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Avro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Redcar Athletic vs Avro?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Redcar Athletic (1,895) and Avro (1,854).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Redcar Athletic have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Avro have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Workington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bury(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Workington(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 6-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Redcar Athletic score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Avro score 3.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redcar Athletic | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Avro | 3.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Redcar Athletic sit 4th in Non League Premier - Northern (11 points from 5 matches) and Avro sit 3rd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Avro | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Redcar Athletic | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Redcar Athletic vs Avro?
- The Footlab model makes Redcar Athletic the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Avro.
- Where and when is Redcar Athletic vs Avro played?
- Redcar Athletic vs Avro is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Green Lane, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 13, 2026BuryvsLeek Town
- Oct 13, 2026Guiseley AFCvsCleethorpes Town
- Oct 13, 2026Gainsborough TrinityvsIlkeston Town
- Oct 13, 2026Hyde UnitedvsQuorn
- Oct 13, 2026WorkingtonvsWhitby Town
- Oct 13, 2026Ashton UnitedvsAlfreton Town
- Oct 13, 2026Bamber BridgevsWarrington Town
- Oct 13, 2026Lancaster CityvsStockton Town