Universidad de Concepcion vs Universidad de Chile: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo, Concepción
The Footlab model makes Universidad de Chile the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Universidad de Concepcion. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universidad de Concepcion vs Universidad de Chile?
Universidad de Chile starts as the favourite with a 282-point Elo edge (1,889 vs 1,607).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universidad de Concepcion have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Universidad de Chile have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | D. La Serena(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Concepción(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Curico Unido(home) | 1-3 | Copa Chile |
| Aug 1, 2026 | A. Italiano(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 2-0 | Copa Chile |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportes Limache(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Union San Felipe(away) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Huachipato(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | A. Italiano(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Universidad de Concepcion win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Universidad de Chile win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | Universidad de Chile 1-1 Universidad de Concepcion | Primera División |
| Jan 3, 2021 | Universidad de Chile 2-0 Universidad de Concepcion | Primera División |
| Oct 29, 2020 | Universidad de Concepcion 1-0 Universidad de Chile | Primera División |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Universidad de Concepcion 2-1 Universidad de Chile | Primera División |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Universidad de Concepcion 3-1 Universidad de Chile | Primera División |
| Apr 29, 2018 | Universidad de Chile 1-2 Universidad de Concepcion | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Universidad de Chile vs Universidad de Concepcion on Mar 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universidad de Concepcion score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Universidad de Chile score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepcion | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Universidad de Chile | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universidad de Concepcion sit 11th in Primera División (19 points from 15 matches) and Universidad de Chile sit 3rd (24 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 24 |
| 11 | Universidad de Concepcion | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 19 |
| 14 | Universidad de Concepcion | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universidad de Concepcion vs Universidad de Chile?
- The Footlab model makes Universidad de Chile the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Universidad de Concepcion.
- Where and when is Universidad de Concepcion vs Universidad de Chile played?
- Universidad de Concepcion vs Universidad de Chile is played on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.