Cobresal vs Palestino: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estadio El Cobre, El Salvador, Diego de Almagro
The Footlab model makes Palestino the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Cobresal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cobresal vs Palestino?
Palestino starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,761 vs 1,617).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cobresal have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Palestino have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | D. La Serena(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Concepción(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | U. Catolica(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Huachipato(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Huachipato(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nublense(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Magallanes(away) | 2-1 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cobresal win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Palestino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Palestino 4-2 Cobresal | Primera División |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Cobresal 2-1 Palestino | Primera División |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Palestino 2-1 Cobresal | Primera División |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Palestino 3-0 Cobresal | Primera División |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Cobresal 0-2 Palestino | Primera División |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Cobresal 2-1 Palestino | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Cobresal score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Palestino score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Palestino | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cobresal sit 15th in Primera División (13 points from 15 matches) and Palestino sit 5th (24 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Palestino | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 24 |
| 5 | Palestino | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 30 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 29 | 13 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 39 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cobresal vs Palestino?
- The Footlab model makes Palestino the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Cobresal.
- Where and when is Cobresal vs Palestino played?
- Cobresal vs Palestino is played on August 28, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Cobre, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.