Match

Uxbridge vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Honeycroft, London

UxbridgeGloucester City

The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Uxbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Uxbridge vs Gloucester City?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Uxbridge (1,823) and Gloucester City (1,864).

Uxbridge win38 %
Draw23 %
Gloucester City win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uxbridge have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Gloucester City have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Uxbridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Taunton Town(home)5-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Gosport Borough(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Havant & Wville(away)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chippenham Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 25, 2026Poole Town(home)3-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Gloucester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hanwell Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Wimborne Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Bracknell Town(away)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chertsey Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Uxbridge win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Gloucester City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Gloucester City 2-3 UxbridgeNon League Premier - Southern South
Nov 1, 2025Uxbridge 4-3 Gloucester CityNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Gloucester City vs Uxbridge on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Uxbridge score 2.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Uxbridge2.61.3510/1510/15
Gloucester City1.61.267/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Uxbridge sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Gloucester City sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Uxbridge431010510
15Gloucester City4112454

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Uxbridge vs Gloucester City?
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Uxbridge.
Where and when is Uxbridge vs Gloucester City played?
Uxbridge vs Gloucester City is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Honeycroft, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Uxbridge and Gloucester City

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