Uxbridge vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Honeycroft, London
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Uxbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uxbridge vs Gloucester City?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Uxbridge (1,823) and Gloucester City (1,864).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uxbridge have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Gloucester City have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 5-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Uxbridge win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Gloucester City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Gloucester City 2-3 Uxbridge | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Uxbridge 4-3 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Gloucester City vs Uxbridge on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Uxbridge score 2.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uxbridge | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Gloucester City | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uxbridge sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Gloucester City sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Uxbridge | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 15 | Gloucester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uxbridge vs Gloucester City?
- The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Uxbridge.
- Where and when is Uxbridge vs Gloucester City played?
- Uxbridge vs Gloucester City is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Honeycroft, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Taunton TownvsChertsey Town
- Nov 21, 2026BerkhamstedvsFrome Town
- Nov 21, 2026Chichester CityvsBasingstoke Town
- Nov 21, 2026SholingvsEvesham United
- Nov 21, 2026Gosport BoroughvsHavant & Wville
- Nov 21, 2026Wimborne TownvsBath City
- Nov 21, 2026Yate TownvsHanwell Town
- Nov 21, 2026Chippenham TownvsBracknell Town