Valour vs Forge: result 3-1 and analysis
Canadian Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 11, 2021 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Princess Auto Stadium, Winnipeg, Manitoba
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What was the result of Valour vs Forge?
Valour won 3-1 on October 11, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 5′R. RomeoValour
- 38′G. MétusalaForge
- 45′W. AkioValour
- 59′M. DyerValour
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valour have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Forge have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2021 | Cavalry FC(home) | 0-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2021 | FC Edmonton(home) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 29, 2021 | Pacific FC(home) | 1-3 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2021 | York United(away) | 1-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Cavalry FC(home) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2021 | HFX Wanderers FC(away) | 1-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Atlético Ottawa(away) | 3-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2021 | Independiente de La Chorrera(away) | 2-0 | CONCACAF League |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Pacific FC(home) | 2-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Independiente de La Chorrera(home) | 0-0 | CONCACAF League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Valour win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Forge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2021 | Forge 2-1 Valour | Canadian Championship |
| Jul 11, 2021 | Valour 1-0 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| Jun 27, 2021 | Forge 0-2 Valour | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Forge 2-2 Valour | Canadian Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Valour score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Forge score 1.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valour | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Forge | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 41 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy