Vanraure Hachinohe vs Tochigi City: prediction and stats
J-League CupRound of 128Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Prifoods Stadium, Hachinohe
The Footlab model makes Tochigi City the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Vanraure Hachinohe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vanraure Hachinohe vs Tochigi City?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Vanraure Hachinohe (1,727) and Tochigi City (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vanraure Hachinohe have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Tochigi City have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(away) | 0-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vegalta Sendai(home) | 0-2 | J2 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tochigi City(away) | 0-5 | J2 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kataller Toyama(home) | 2-0 | J2 League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Vegalta Sendai(away) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sagan Tosu(away) | 3-1 | J2 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe(home) | 5-0 | J2 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Montedio Yamagata(away) | 0-2 | J2 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vanraure Hachinohe win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tochigi City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tochigi City 5-0 Vanraure Hachinohe | J2 League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tochigi City 2-4 Vanraure Hachinohe | J2/J3 League |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe 0-1 Tochigi City | J2/J3 League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Tochigi City 1-0 Vanraure Hachinohe | J3 League |
| May 6, 2025 | Vanraure Hachinohe 0-0 Tochigi City | J3 League |
| May 25, 2019 | Tochigi City 0-2 Vanraure Hachinohe | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Tochigi City vs Vanraure Hachinohe on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vanraure Hachinohe score 0.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tochigi City score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanraure Hachinohe | 0.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Tochigi City | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vanraure Hachinohe vs Tochigi City?
- The Footlab model makes Tochigi City the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Vanraure Hachinohe.
- Where and when is Vanraure Hachinohe vs Tochigi City played?
- Vanraure Hachinohe vs Tochigi City is played on September 2, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at Prifoods Stadium, in the J-League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.