Sagamihara vs Jubilo Iwata: prediction and stats
J-League CupRound of 128Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Jubilo Iwata. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sagamihara vs Jubilo Iwata?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Sagamihara (1,763) and Jubilo Iwata (1,769).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagamihara have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Jubilo Iwata have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(away) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-0 | J2/J3 League |
| May 30, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(home) | 4-3 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tokushima Vortis(home) | 2-1 | J2 League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Yokohama FC(away) | 1-3 | J2 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blaublitz Akita(home) | 1-1 | J2 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| May 30, 2026 | Tochigi City(away) | 2-2 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Sagamihara win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Jubilo Iwata win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2025 | Jubilo Iwata 1-2 Sagamihara | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Sagamihara | J2 League |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Sagamihara 1-2 Jubilo Iwata | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Jubilo Iwata vs Sagamihara on Jun 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jubilo Iwata score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagamihara | 1.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Jubilo Iwata | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jubilo Iwata | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sagamihara vs Jubilo Iwata?
- The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Jubilo Iwata.
- Where and when is Sagamihara vs Jubilo Iwata played?
- Sagamihara vs Jubilo Iwata is played on September 2, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium, in the J-League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.