Match

Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita: prediction and stats

J-League CupRound of 128Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto

Roasso KumamotoOita Trinita

The Footlab model makes Oita Trinita the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Roasso Kumamoto. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Roasso Kumamoto (1,700) and Oita Trinita (1,717).

Roasso Kumamoto win29 %
Draw30 %
Oita Trinita win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roasso Kumamoto have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Oita Trinita have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Roasso Kumamoto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)0-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)2-2Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Tochigi SC(home)0-0J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Sagamihara(away)0-0J3 League
Jul 19, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Oita Trinita
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Iwaki(away)0-2Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Iwaki(home)4-1J2 League
Aug 15, 2026Vegalta Sendai(away)0-0J2 League
Aug 8, 2026Shonan Bellmare(home)0-1J2 League
Jun 7, 2026Montedio Yamagata(home)1-0J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Roasso Kumamoto win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Oita Trinita win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 29, 2026Oita Trinita 0-1 Roasso KumamotoJ2/J3 League
Mar 1, 2026Roasso Kumamoto 3-1 Oita TrinitaJ2/J3 League
Oct 26, 2025Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Oita TrinitaJ2 League
May 3, 2025Oita Trinita 1-0 Roasso KumamotoJ2 League
Aug 11, 2024Oita Trinita 2-1 Roasso KumamotoJ2 League
May 13, 2024Oita Trinita 1-3 Roasso KumamotoFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Oita Trinita vs Roasso Kumamoto on Apr 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Oita Trinita score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Roasso Kumamoto0.91.165/155/15
Oita Trinita1.01.165/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita?
The Footlab model makes Oita Trinita the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Roasso Kumamoto.
Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita played?
Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita is played on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J-League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Roasso Kumamoto and Oita Trinita

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