Vaprus vs Kuressaare: result 3-1 and analysis
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 17, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pärnu Rannastaadion, Pärnu
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What was the result of Vaprus vs Kuressaare?
Vaprus won 3-1 on September 17, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 30′M. KäosVaprus
- 52′S. KapperVaprus
- 75′O. LippKuressaare
- 76′E. VeensaluVaprus
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vaprus have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Kuressaare have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2023 | Laagri(away) | 4-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Tammeka(away) | 0-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 3-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 6, 2023 | FC Levadia Tallinn(home) | 0-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 1, 2023 | K-Järve JK Järve(home) | 6-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2023 | Kose(home) | 9-1 | Cup |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Tammeka(home) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Kalju Nomme(away) | 1-4 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 20, 2023 | FC Levadia Tallinn(home) | 2-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Trans Narva(away) | 0-2 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vaprus win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Kuressaare win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2023 | Vaprus 1-2 Kuressaare | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Kuressaare 1-2 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Kuressaare 1-0 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Vaprus 0-1 Kuressaare | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 25, 2022 | Kuressaare 2-2 Vaprus | Cup |
| May 6, 2022 | Vaprus 3-1 Kuressaare | Meistriliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Vaprus score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kuressaare score 2.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaprus | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Kuressaare | 2.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vaprus sit 7th in Meistriliiga (27 points from 23 matches) and Kuressaare sit 9th (24 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Vaprus | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 44 | 27 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 39 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy