Vaprus vs Kuressaare: result 3-2 and analysis
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on March 17, 2024 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Pärnu Rannastaadion, Pärnu
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What was the result of Vaprus vs Kuressaare?
Vaprus won 3-2 on March 17, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 38′M. MännilaanKuressaare
- 54′K. KaskVaprus
- 64′M. MännilaanKuressaare
- 74′K. KauberVaprus (pen.)
- 87′E. VeensaluVaprus
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vaprus have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Kuressaare have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | Tammeka(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Paide(home) | 0-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Flora Tallinn(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Flora Tallinn(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Kuressaare(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | FC Levadia Tallinn(home) | 0-6 | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 0-6 | Meistriliiga |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Tukums(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Metta / LU(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Flora II(home) | 4-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vaprus win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Kuressaare win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | Kuressaare 1-0 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Vaprus 3-1 Kuressaare | Meistriliiga |
| May 3, 2023 | Vaprus 1-2 Kuressaare | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Kuressaare 1-2 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Kuressaare 1-0 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Vaprus 0-1 Kuressaare | Meistriliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Vaprus score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kuressaare score 0.7 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaprus | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Kuressaare | 0.7 | 2.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vaprus sit 7th in Meistriliiga (27 points from 23 matches) and Kuressaare sit 9th (24 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Vaprus | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 44 | 27 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 39 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy