Vaprus vs Kuressaare: result 3-1 and analysis
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 6, 2024 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pärnu Rannastaadion, Pärnu
Full time
What was the result of Vaprus vs Kuressaare?
Vaprus won 3-1 on October 6, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 41′T. PajoVaprus
- 44′M. MännilaanKuressaare
- 56′S. KapperVaprus
- 70′S. KapperVaprus
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vaprus have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Kuressaare have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2024 | Flora Tallinn(away) | 0-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 22, 2024 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 1-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Tammeka(home) | 2-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 0-4 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Tallinna Kalev(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2024 | Nõmme United(home) | 4-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Paide(away) | 3-4 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 17, 2024 | FC Levadia Tallinn(home) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Flora Tallinn(home) | 3-4 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Tartu Kalev(home) | 7-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vaprus win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Kuressaare win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2024 | Kuressaare 1-1 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| May 28, 2024 | Kuressaare 2-2 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Vaprus 3-2 Kuressaare | Meistriliiga |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Kuressaare 1-0 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Vaprus 3-1 Kuressaare | Meistriliiga |
| May 3, 2023 | Vaprus 1-2 Kuressaare | Meistriliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Vaprus score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kuressaare score 2.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaprus | 2.1 | 1.6 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Kuressaare | 2.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vaprus sit 7th in Meistriliiga (27 points from 23 matches) and Kuressaare sit 9th (24 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Vaprus | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 44 | 27 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 39 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy