Vaprus vs Kuressaare: result 0-1 and analysis
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 21, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pärnu Rannastaadion, Pärnu
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What was the result of Vaprus vs Kuressaare?
Kuressaare won 0-1 on October 21, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 30′A. KiviKuressaare
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vaprus have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Kuressaare have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Trans Narva(away) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Kalju Nomme(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Laagri(away) | 2-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Tallinna Kalev(home) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Tammeka(away) | 4-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | FC Levadia Tallinn(home) | 0-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Paide(home) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Tammeka(away) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Trans Narva(home) | 0-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Laagri(away) | 1-2 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Vaprus win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kuressaare win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2025 | Kuressaare 2-1 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Vaprus 2-1 Kuressaare | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Kuressaare 1-0 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Kuressaare 0-2 Vaprus | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Vaprus 3-1 Kuressaare | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Kuressaare 1-1 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Vaprus score 3.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kuressaare score 1.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaprus | 3.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Kuressaare | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vaprus sit 7th in Meistriliiga (27 points from 23 matches) and Kuressaare sit 9th (24 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Vaprus | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 44 | 27 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 39 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy