Vaprus vs Paide: result 1-0 and analysis
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on August 30, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Pärnu Rannastaadion, Pärnu
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What was the result of Vaprus vs Paide?
Vaprus won 1-0 on August 30, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 38′S. KapperVaprus
Official lineup for Vaprus vs Paide
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Vaprus
- 7V. Vallik
- 8T. Pajo
- 11K. Kauber
- 17S. Kapper
- 42M. Limberg
- 20H. Välja
- 90J. Sild
- 4Magnus Villota
- 15K. Aloe
- 28M. Lipp
- 16O. Nõmm
Paide
- 9H. Anier
- 20Muhammed Suso
- 6L. Gilmore
- 10M. Miller
- 28O. Hõim
- 43Willian Lins
- 2M. Lilander
- 3Victor Hugo dos Santos de Sá
- 27N. Baranov
- 29J. Saliste
- 99E. Jarju
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vaprus have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Paide have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2025 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 3-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Keila(home) | 9-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Tammeka(home) | 8-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Kalju Nomme(away) | 2-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Tallinna Kalev(away) | 2-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2025 | Tammeka(away) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Kuressaare(home) | 5-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Kuressaare(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Tallinna Kalev(home) | 2-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Laagri(home) | 2-0 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Vaprus win, 0 draws, 5 Paide wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2025 | Vaprus 1-2 Paide | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Paide 1-0 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Vaprus 0-1 Paide | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Paide 1-0 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 18, 2024 | Paide 0-1 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Vaprus 0-3 Paide | Meistriliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Vaprus score 3.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Paide score 1.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaprus | 3.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Paide | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vaprus sit 7th in Meistriliiga (36 points from 31 matches) and Paide sit 3rd (51 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Paide | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 51 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 43 | 61 | 36 |
A question about Vaprus vs Paide?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy