Vaprus vs Paide: result 3-2 and analysis
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on March 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Pärnu Rannastaadion, Pärnu
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What was the result of Vaprus vs Paide?
Vaprus won 3-2 on March 7, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 55′M. P. SohnaPaide
- 59′R. SmirnovPaide
- 62′S. ViidasVaprus
- 78′H. VäljaVaprus (pen.)
- 83′S. ViidasVaprus
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vaprus have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Paide have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Trans Narva(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev(away) | 6-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Metta / LU(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kuressaare(home) | 9-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 24, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Super Nova(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Trans Narva(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Metta / LU(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Vaprus win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Paide win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | Paide 3-0 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Vaprus 1-0 Paide | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Vaprus 1-2 Paide | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Paide 1-0 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Vaprus 0-1 Paide | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Paide 1-0 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Vaprus score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Paide score 2.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaprus | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Paide | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vaprus sit 7th in Meistriliiga (27 points from 23 matches) and Paide sit 4th (39 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paide | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 30 | 39 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 44 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy