Vaprus vs Trans Narva: result 3-2 and analysis
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 27, 2023 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Pärnu Rannastaadion, Pärnu
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What was the result of Vaprus vs Trans Narva?
Vaprus won 3-2 on September 27, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 30′S. KapperVaprus
- 59′A. NikolajevTrans Narva
- 68′T. KoskorTrans Narva (pen.)
- 90′R. TiismaaVaprus (pen.)
- 90′R. TiismaaVaprus
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vaprus have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Trans Narva have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2023 | Paide(away) | 0-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Kuressaare(home) | 3-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Laagri(away) | 4-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Tammeka(away) | 0-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 3-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2023 | Laagri(home) | 1-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Tammeka(away) | 0-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Tallinna Kalev(home) | 2-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Paide(home) | 0-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Zenit Tallinn(home) | 5-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Vaprus win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Trans Narva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2023 | Trans Narva 0-4 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| May 7, 2023 | Trans Narva 0-2 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 19, 2023 | Vaprus 1-0 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Vaprus 1-0 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 30, 2022 | Trans Narva 1-0 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 9, 2022 | Vaprus 3-5 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Vaprus score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Trans Narva score 1.2 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaprus | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Trans Narva | 1.2 | 1.8 | 5 | 3/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vaprus sit 7th in Meistriliiga (27 points from 23 matches) and Trans Narva sit 10th (17 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Vaprus | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 44 | 27 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 55 | 17 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy