Vaprus vs Trans Narva: result 3-5 and analysis
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on July 9, 2022 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Pärnu Rannastaadion, Pärnu
Full time
What was the result of Vaprus vs Trans Narva?
Trans Narva won 3-5 on July 9, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 1′R. TiismaaVaprus
- 22′A. ZakarlyukaTrans Narva
- 24′R. TiismaaVaprus
- 56′Magnus VillotaVaprus
- 65′A. KovaltšukTrans Narva
- 72′Oleksandr KozhevnikovTrans Narva
- 75′Oleksandr KozhevnikovTrans Narva
- 90′Oleksandr KozhevnikovTrans Narva
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vaprus have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Trans Narva have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2022 | Tammeka(home) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 29, 2022 | Flora Tallinn(away) | 1-6 | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 16, 2022 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 1-4 | Meistriliiga |
| May 25, 2022 | Tallinna Kalev(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| May 18, 2022 | Legion(home) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2022 | Paide(home) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 29, 2022 | Tammeka(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 22, 2022 | Tabasalu Ulasabat(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Jun 18, 2022 | Tallinna Kalev(home) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 13, 2022 | FC Levadia Tallinn(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Vaprus win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Trans Narva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | Trans Narva 3-1 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Trans Narva 3-0 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 4, 2021 | Vaprus 2-1 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Trans Narva 1-1 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Vaprus score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Trans Narva score 0.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaprus | 1.1 | 2.5 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Trans Narva | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vaprus sit 7th in Meistriliiga (27 points from 23 matches) and Trans Narva sit 10th (17 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Vaprus | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 44 | 27 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 55 | 17 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy