Varesina vs Crema: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Comunale, Venegono Superiore
The Footlab AI model makes Varesina the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Crema. The most likely score is 1-1. If Varesina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Varesina vs Crema?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Varesina (1,776) and Crema (1,701).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Varesina vs Crema
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Varesina
Not enough data to predict the Varesina lineup.
Crema
Not enough data to predict the Crema lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varesina have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Crema have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pro Patria(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lentigione(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pontedera(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Varesina wins, 1 draw, 0 Crema wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Crema 2-2 Varesina | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Varesina 5-2 Crema | Serie D - Girone B |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Varesina 2-0 Crema | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Crema 0-1 Varesina | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Varesina score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Crema score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varesina | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Crema | 1.0 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varesina sit 14th in Serie D - Girone D (11 points from 10 matches) and Crema sit 13th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Crema | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 12 |
| 14 | Varesina | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
A question about Varesina vs Crema?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Varesina vs Crema?
- The Footlab AI model makes Varesina the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Crema.
- Where and when is Varesina vs Crema played?
- Varesina vs Crema is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.