Castellanzese vs Pro Sesto: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi, Castellanza
The Footlab AI model makes Castellanzese the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Pro Sesto. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellanzese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,757 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellanzese vs Pro Sesto?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Castellanzese (1,741) and Pro Sesto (1,775).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castellanzese vs Pro Sesto
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castellanzese
Not enough data to predict the Castellanzese lineup.
Pro Sesto
Not enough data to predict the Pro Sesto lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 08:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellanzese have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Pro Sesto have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Crema(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Varesina(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arconatese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Castellanzese wins, 1 draw, 1 Pro Sesto win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | Pro Sesto 1-1 Castellanzese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Castellanzese 1-0 Pro Sesto | Serie D - Girone B |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Castellanzese 2-1 Pro Sesto | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Pro Sesto 1-0 Castellanzese | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Pro Sesto vs Castellanzese on Jan 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Castellanzese score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Pro Sesto score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellanzese | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Pro Sesto | 1.6 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellanzese sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone D (18 points from 8 matches) and Pro Sesto sit 5th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Castellanzese | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 15 |
A question about Castellanzese vs Pro Sesto?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellanzese vs Pro Sesto?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellanzese the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Pro Sesto.
- Where and when is Castellanzese vs Pro Sesto played?
- Castellanzese vs Pro Sesto is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.