Varzim vs Fafe: result 5-3 and analysis
Liga 3Promotion Group - 14Kick-off on May 17, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Varzim Sport Club, Póvoa de Varzim
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What was the result of Varzim vs Fafe?
Varzim won 5-3 on May 17, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 29′Tiago Rafael Fernandes LeiiteFafe (pen.)
- 34′Cláudio Vítor Rodrigues AraújoVarzim
- 47′Cláudio Vítor Rodrigues AraújoVarzim
- 50′PicasFafe
- 54′Cláudio Vítor Rodrigues AraújoVarzim (pen.)
- 60′Cláudio Vítor Rodrigues AraújoVarzim
- 80′Tiago Rafael Fernandes LeiiteFafe
- 90′Lourenço HenriquesVarzim
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varzim have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Fafe have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | 1º Dezembro(away) | 3-0 | Liga 3 |
| May 4, 2025 | Sporting CP B(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Atlético CP(away) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Lusitânia Lourosa(home) | 4-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Sporting CP B(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| May 4, 2025 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 2-3 | Liga 3 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Atlético CP(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Amarante(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Varzim win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Fafe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Fafe 1-0 Varzim | Liga 3 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Fafe 2-0 Varzim | Liga 3 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Varzim 0-2 Fafe | Liga 3 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Varzim 0-1 Fafe | Liga 3 |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Fafe 0-0 Varzim | Liga 3 |
| May 6, 2023 | Varzim 1-0 Fafe | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Varzim score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fafe score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varzim | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Fafe | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varzim sit 1st in Liga 3 (9 points from 3 matches) and Fafe sit 4th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Varzim | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Fafe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy