Vasas vs Paks: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Vasas the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Paks. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vasas vs Paks?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Vasas (1,851) and Paks (1,861).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vasas have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Paks have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Puskas Academy(home) | 0-1 | NB I |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Budapest Honved(away) | 2-1 | NB I |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(home) | 5-0 | NB I |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 0-0 | NB I |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC(home) | 2-2 | NB I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ujpest(home) | 2-0 | NB I |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-3 | NB I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Budapest Honved(home) | 2-2 | NB I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(away) | 2-5 | NB I |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Vasas win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Paks win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | Vasas 2-5 Paks | Magyar Kupa |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Paks 1-3 Vasas | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Vasas 2-3 Paks | NB I |
| Mar 1, 2023 | Paks 2-3 Vasas | Magyar Kupa |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Paks 0-1 Vasas | NB I |
| Aug 5, 2022 | Vasas 2-2 Paks | NB I |
How many goals should we expect?
Vasas score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Paks score 2.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasas | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Paks | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vasas sit 3rd in NB I (8 points from 5 matches) and Paks sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vasas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Paks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vasas vs Paks?
- The Footlab model makes Vasas the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Paks.
- Where and when is Vasas vs Paks played?
- Vasas vs Paks is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.