Vasas vs Paks: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab AI model makes Paks the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Vasas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paks wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vasas vs Paks?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Vasas (1,863) and Paks (1,874).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vasas vs Paks
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vasas
4-2-3-1- 9M. Koszta
- 88J. Urblík
- 10M. Kovácsréti
- 77M. Tóth
- 15S. Hidi
- 16B. Rab
- 17Dániel Csóka
- 57P. Iyinbor
- 4B. Pávkovics
- 14Á. Doktorics
- 87M. Engedi
Paks
5-4-1- 7J. Szalai
- 21K. Papp
- 10Z. Haraszti
- 8B. Balogh
- 22J. Windecker
- 30J. Szabó
- 14E. Silye
- 24B. Lenzsér
- 15C. Belényesi
- 5B. Vécsei
- 28M. Gyetván
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vasas have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Paks have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(home) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(away) | 4-2 | NB I |
| Sep 12, 2026 | TFSE Budapest(away) | 3-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(home) | 3-2 | NB I |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ujpest(away) | 1-3 | NB I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | MTK Budapest(home) | 3-0 | NB I |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(away) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kazincbarcikai(away) | 2-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(home) | 2-4 | NB I |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(away) | 1-1 | NB I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Vasas wins, 1 draw, 2 Paks wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | Vasas 2-5 Paks | Magyar Kupa |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Paks 1-3 Vasas | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Vasas 2-3 Paks | NB I |
| Mar 1, 2023 | Paks 2-3 Vasas | Magyar Kupa |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Paks 0-1 Vasas | NB I |
| Aug 5, 2022 | Vasas 2-2 Paks | NB I |
How many goals should we expect?
Vasas score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Paks score 2.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasas | 2.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Paks | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vasas sit 2nd in NB I (15 points from 9 matches) and Paks sit 5th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Vasas | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 15 |
| 5 | Paks | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 14 |
A question about Vasas vs Paks?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vasas vs Paks?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paks the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Vasas.
- Where and when is Vasas vs Paks played?
- Vasas vs Paks is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.