Match

Vreden vs TuS Hordel: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 26Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 12:15 PM (UTC)Hamalandstadion, Vreden

VredenTuS Hordel

The Footlab model makes Vreden the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for TuS Hordel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vreden vs TuS Hordel?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Vreden (1,659) and TuS Hordel (1,748).

Vreden win44 %
Draw24 %
TuS Hordel win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vreden have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; TuS Hordel have 1, 1 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vreden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Maaslingen(away)2-5Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026ASC Dortmund(home)5-2Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026Hiltrup(home)2-0Oberliga - Westfalen
May 31, 2026Erkenschwick(home)3-0Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026ASC Dortmund(away)0-1Oberliga - Westfalen
TuS Hordel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Preußen Münster II(home)4-2Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026Westfalia Kinderhaus(away)0-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026Erkenschwick(home)1-1Oberliga - Westfalen

How many goals should we expect?

Vreden score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; TuS Hordel score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Vreden1.62.148/159/15
TuS Hordel1.71.302/31/3

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vreden sit 4th in Oberliga - Westfalen (6 points from 2 matches) and TuS Hordel sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Vreden2200726
15TuS Hordel2011121

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vreden vs TuS Hordel?
The Footlab model makes Vreden the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for TuS Hordel.
Where and when is Vreden vs TuS Hordel played?
Vreden vs TuS Hordel is played on April 4, 2027 at 12:15 PM (UTC) at Hamalandstadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Vreden and TuS Hordel

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