Where and when is Verl vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?

Verl vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Verl vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl

Verl

Fortuna Düsseldorf

The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Verl vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Verl (1,952) and Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,910).

Verl win49 %

Draw23 %

Fortuna Düsseldorf win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Verl
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Hamburger SV(home)	0-3	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	MSV Duisburg(home)	2-4	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Alemannia Aachen(away)	1-4	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	RB Leipzig(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 26, 2026	Bremer SV(home)	6-1	Friendlies Clubs

Fortuna Düsseldorf
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SC Freiburg(home)	1-5	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Hoffenheim II(home)	0-2	3. Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Waldhof Mannheim(away)	1-2	3. Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Lask Linz(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Verl score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Verl	1.5	1.7	4	6/15	10/15
Fortuna Düsseldorf	2.4	1.5	3	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Verl sit 19th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
18	Fortuna Düsseldorf	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
19	Verl	2	0	0	2	3	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Verl vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?: The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Where and when is Verl vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?: Verl vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.