Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl played?

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Düsseldorf Arena, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Verl

The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Verl. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,913) and Verl (1,971).

Fortuna Düsseldorf win38 %

Draw25 %

Verl win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Verl have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortuna Düsseldorf
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SC Freiburg(home)	1-5	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Hoffenheim II(home)	0-2	3. Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Waldhof Mannheim(away)	1-2	3. Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Lask Linz(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

Verl
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	MSV Duisburg(home)	2-4	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Alemannia Aachen(away)	1-4	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	RB Leipzig(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 26, 2026	Bremer SV(home)	6-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Verl score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fortuna Düsseldorf	2.4	1.5	3	7/15	10/15
Verl	1.7	1.5	5	6/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Verl sit 19th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
18	Fortuna Düsseldorf	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
19	Verl	2	0	0	2	3	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl?: The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Verl.
Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl played?: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Düsseldorf Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.