Match

Verl vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl

VerlSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Verl. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Verl vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (2,055 vs 1,953).

Verl win34 %
Draw24 %
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Verl
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Hamburger SV(home)0-3DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026MSV Duisburg(home)2-43. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Alemannia Aachen(away)1-43. Liga
Aug 1, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 26, 2026Bremer SV(home)6-1Friendlies Clubs
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(home)2-2DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026SV Meppen(away)0-23. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Fortuna Köln(home)1-03. Liga
Jul 25, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)2-7Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026VfR Aalen(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Verl score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Verl1.51.746/1510/15
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2.01.375/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Verl sit 19th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach sit 13th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2101123
19Verl2002380

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Verl vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Verl.
Where and when is Verl vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach played?
Verl vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Verl and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

Ready to know everything about football?