SV Wehen vs Fortuna Köln: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)BRITA-Arena, Wiesbaden
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for SV Wehen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Wehen vs Fortuna Köln?
Fortuna Köln starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (2,037 vs 1,860).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Wehen have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Fortuna Köln have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(away) | 0-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Preußen Münster(home) | 1-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SV Wehen win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Fortuna Köln win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2019 | SV Wehen 3-0 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Fortuna Köln 0-7 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| Feb 17, 2018 | Fortuna Köln 1-0 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| Aug 26, 2017 | SV Wehen 1-1 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Fortuna Köln 0-0 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2016 | SV Wehen 3-0 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: SV Wehen vs Fortuna Köln on Apr 13, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
SV Wehen score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Fortuna Köln | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Wehen sit 20th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Köln sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 20 | SV Wehen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Wehen vs Fortuna Köln?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for SV Wehen.
- Where and when is SV Wehen vs Fortuna Köln played?
- SV Wehen vs Fortuna Köln is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at BRITA-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Fortuna DüsseldorfvsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Feb 27, 2027FC Viktoria KölnvsSV Meppen
- Feb 27, 2027Rot-Weiß EssenvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Feb 27, 2027FC SaarbrückenvsPreußen Münster
- Feb 27, 2027Alemannia AachenvsWürzburger Kickers
- Feb 27, 2027VerlvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Feb 27, 2027HavelsevsMSV Duisburg
- Feb 27, 2027Hoffenheim IIvsFC Ingolstadt 04