Havelse vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Wilhelm-Langrehr-Stadion, Garbsen
The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Havelse. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Havelse vs MSV Duisburg?
MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,824).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Havelse have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stuttgart II(home) | 2-3 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Verl(away) | 4-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Meppen(home) | 3-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Havelse win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 MSV Duisburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | MSV Duisburg 1-1 Havelse | 3. Liga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Havelse 1-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Jan 14, 2022 | Havelse 0-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2021 | MSV Duisburg 3-0 Havelse | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: MSV Duisburg vs Havelse on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Havelse score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havelse | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| MSV Duisburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Havelse sit 17th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 17 | Havelse | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Havelse vs MSV Duisburg?
- The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Havelse.
- Where and when is Havelse vs MSV Duisburg played?
- Havelse vs MSV Duisburg is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Wilhelm-Langrehr-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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