Match

Havelse vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Wilhelm-Langrehr-Stadion, Garbsen

HavelseMSV Duisburg

The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Havelse. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Havelse vs MSV Duisburg?

MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,824).

Havelse win23 %
Draw21 %
MSV Duisburg win56 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Havelse have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Havelse
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)0-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Stuttgart II(home)2-33. Liga
Jul 31, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Hannover 96 II(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 19, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SV Elversberg(home)1-3DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Verl(away)4-23. Liga
Aug 8, 2026SV Meppen(home)3-03. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Sparta Rotterdam(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Havelse win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 MSV Duisburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2026MSV Duisburg 1-1 Havelse3. Liga
Sep 21, 2025Havelse 1-1 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Jan 14, 2022Havelse 0-1 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Aug 8, 2021MSV Duisburg 3-0 Havelse3. Liga

Last archived meeting: MSV Duisburg vs Havelse on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Havelse score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Havelse1.52.3210/1511/15
MSV Duisburg1.81.3410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Havelse sit 17th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1MSV Duisburg2200726
17Havelse2002240

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Havelse vs MSV Duisburg?
The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Havelse.
Where and when is Havelse vs MSV Duisburg played?
Havelse vs MSV Duisburg is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Wilhelm-Langrehr-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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