Havelse vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Wilhelm-Langrehr-Stadion, Garbsen
The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Havelse. The most likely score is 1-1. If MSV Duisburg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Havelse vs MSV Duisburg?
MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (2,057 vs 1,828).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Havelse vs MSV Duisburg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Havelse
3-5-2- 11K. Okyere Wriedt
- 14Y. Wardak
- 10K. Schumacher
- 33J. Tugbenyo
- 22L. Sommer
- 12Eryk Artur Grzywacz
- 28R. Velasco
- 15D. Duah
- 4S. Belkahia
- 8J. Berger
- 1T. Opitz
MSV Duisburg
3-4-2-1- 9L. Lobinger
- 6R. Bulić
- 11D. Kother
- 14C. Noß
- 8A. Casar
- 20N. Jessen
- 3F. Christensen
- 5T. Fleckstein
- 40B. Schlicke
- 29J. Bitter
- 1M. Braune
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 06:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Havelse have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(home) | 3-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | SV Meppen(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(home) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(away) | 0-5 | 3. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Stuttgart II(home) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 4-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 3-2 | 3. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Havelse wins, 2 draws, 3 MSV Duisburg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | MSV Duisburg 2-1 Havelse | 3. Liga |
| Mar 1, 2026 | MSV Duisburg 1-1 Havelse | 3. Liga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Havelse 1-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Jan 14, 2022 | Havelse 0-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2021 | MSV Duisburg 3-0 Havelse | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: MSV Duisburg vs Havelse on Sep 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Havelse score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havelse | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| MSV Duisburg | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Havelse sit 20th in 3. Liga (10 points from 12 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 2nd (26 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MSV Duisburg | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 17 | 26 |
| 20 | Havelse | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 10 |
A question about Havelse vs MSV Duisburg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Havelse vs MSV Duisburg?
- The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Havelse.
- Where and when is Havelse vs MSV Duisburg played?
- Havelse vs MSV Duisburg is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Wilhelm-Langrehr-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Fortuna DüsseldorfvsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Feb 27, 2027SV WehenvsFortuna Köln
- Feb 27, 2027FC Viktoria KölnvsSV Meppen
- Feb 27, 2027Rot-Weiß EssenvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Feb 27, 2027FC SaarbrückenvsPreußen Münster
- Feb 27, 2027Alemannia AachenvsWürzburger Kickers
- Feb 27, 2027VerlvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Feb 27, 2027Hoffenheim IIvsFC Ingolstadt 04