Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs FC Schalke 04 played?

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Schalke 04 is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Schalke 04: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)MHPArena, Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

FC Schalke 04

The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for FC Schalke 04. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs FC Schalke 04?

VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (2,252 vs 2,047).

VfB Stuttgart win61 %

Draw21 %

FC Schalke 04 win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Stuttgart have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; FC Schalke 04 have 10, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfB Stuttgart
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Hansa Rostock(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Fulham(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Everton(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Paris FC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(away)	8-1	Friendlies Clubs

FC Schalke 04
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Real Madrid(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Atalanta(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Hessen Kassel(away)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026	Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 VfB Stuttgart win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 FC Schalke 04 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 25, 2023	FC Schalke 04 2-1 VfB Stuttgart	Bundesliga
Sep 3, 2022	VfB Stuttgart 1-1 FC Schalke 04	Bundesliga
Feb 27, 2021	VfB Stuttgart 5-1 FC Schalke 04	Bundesliga
Oct 30, 2020	FC Schalke 04 1-1 VfB Stuttgart	Bundesliga
May 18, 2019	FC Schalke 04 0-0 VfB Stuttgart	Bundesliga
Dec 22, 2018	VfB Stuttgart 1-3 FC Schalke 04	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart on Feb 25, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Schalke 04 score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfB Stuttgart	3.1	1.3	4	9/15	13/15
FC Schalke 04	1.8	1.3	5	6/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	18	8	8	71	49	62

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs FC Schalke 04?: The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for FC Schalke 04.
Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs FC Schalke 04 played?: VfB Stuttgart vs FC Schalke 04 is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.