Match

Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

The Footlab AI model makes Hamburger SV the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hamburger SV wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,869 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Hamburger SV (2,121) and Werder Bremen (2,107).

40%24%36%
Hamburger SV winDrawWerder Bremen win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Hamburger SV

3-4-2-1
  1. 15Y. Poulsen
  1. 3D. Møller Wolfe
  2. 20Fábio Vieira
  3. 5M. Adeline
  4. 37L. Lemke
  5. 21N. Remberg
  6. 6A. Sambi Lokonga
  1. 24N. Capaldo
  2. 33S. Bornauw
  3. 17W. Omari
  1. 1Daniel Heuer Fernandes

Werder Bremen

4-2-3-1
  1. 10N. Füllkrug
  1. 15L. Reis
  2. 20Chuky San José
  3. 17M. Grüll
  4. 44Y. Regeer
  5. 18E. Dinkçi
  1. 2O. Deman
  2. 32M. Friedl
  3. 5A. Pieper
  4. 13Arthur
  1. 1K. Hein

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 08:13 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Werder Bremen have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)1-0Bundesliga
Oct 10, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)3-2Bundesliga
Oct 4, 2026FC Copenhagen(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 20261. FC Köln(home)2-1Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-5Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 9, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 19, 2026FC Augsburg(home)3-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 20261. FC Köln(away)1-1Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026RB Leipzig(home)3-1Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hamburger SV wins, 1 draw, 3 Werder Bremen wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Werder Bremen 3-1 Hamburger SVBundesliga
Dec 7, 2025Hamburger SV 3-2 Werder BremenBundesliga
Feb 27, 2022Hamburger SV 2-3 Werder Bremen2. Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2021Werder Bremen 0-2 Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga
Feb 24, 2018Werder Bremen 1-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
Sep 30, 2017Hamburger SV 0-0 Werder BremenBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hamburger SV score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV1.61.839/1511/15
Werder Bremen2.11.539/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hamburger SV sit 9th in Bundesliga (9 points from 6 matches) and Werder Bremen sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Werder Bremen623112129
9Hamburger SV63036159

A question about Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen?
The Footlab AI model makes Hamburger SV the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen played?
Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Volksparkstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hamburger SV and Werder Bremen

Ready to know everything about football?