Where and when is Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen played?

Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Volksparkstadion, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Hamburger SV

Werder Bremen

The Footlab model makes Hamburger SV the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Hamburger SV (2,057) and Werder Bremen (2,041).

Hamburger SV win39 %

Draw25 %

Werder Bremen win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Werder Bremen have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hamburger SV
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Verl(away)	3-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Toulouse(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Lille(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Everton(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Rapid Vienna(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs

Werder Bremen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)	3-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Auxerre(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hamburger SV win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Werder Bremen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Werder Bremen 3-1 Hamburger SV	Bundesliga
Dec 7, 2025	Hamburger SV 3-2 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Feb 27, 2022	Hamburger SV 2-3 Werder Bremen	2. Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2021	Werder Bremen 0-2 Hamburger SV	2. Bundesliga
Feb 24, 2018	Werder Bremen 1-0 Hamburger SV	Bundesliga
Sep 30, 2017	Hamburger SV 0-0 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hamburger SV score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV	1.6	1.8	1	13/15	12/15
Werder Bremen	1.8	1.3	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hamburger SV sit 13th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and Werder Bremen sit 15th (32 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Hamburger SV	34	9	11	14	40	54	38
15	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37	60	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen?: The Footlab model makes Hamburger SV the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen played?: Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Volksparkstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.