Match

RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB LeipzigUnion Berlin

The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (2,219 vs 2,031).

64%19%17%
RB Leipzig winDrawUnion Berlin win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
  1. 40Rômulo
  1. 7A. Nusa
  2. 6E. Banzuzi
  3. 21N. El Aynaoui
  4. 28C. Nkunku
  5. 10B. Gruda
  1. 4W. Orbán
  2. 22D. Raum
  3. 17R. Baku
  4. 23C. Lukeba
  1. 26M. Vandevoordt

Union Berlin

4-1-4-1
  1. 29E. Latte Lath
  1. 8R. Khedira
  2. 20M. Aebischer
  3. 11Jeong Woo-Yeong
  4. 13A. Schäfer
  5. 30K. Imeri
  1. 15T. Rothe
  2. 2F. Uduokhai
  3. 19J. Haberer
  4. 4Z. Van Den Bosch
  1. 1F. Rønnow

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:32 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Union Berlin have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026PSV Eindhoven(home)1-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)6-0Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-2Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Hamburger SV(home)5-0Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2026Como(away)1-4UEFA Champions League
Union Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026SV Elversberg(home)1-0Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2026Bayern München(away)0-7Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)1-3Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-4Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)3-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 RB Leipzig wins, 2 draws, 1 Union Berlin win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 24, 2026RB Leipzig 3-1 Union BerlinBundesliga
Dec 12, 2025Union Berlin 3-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Feb 1, 2025Union Berlin 0-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Sep 14, 2024RB Leipzig 0-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
Feb 4, 2024RB Leipzig 2-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
Sep 3, 2023Union Berlin 0-3 RB LeipzigBundesliga

Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin on Apr 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Union Berlin score 2.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig2.21.576/1511/15
Union Berlin2.12.5111/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RB Leipzig sit 5th in Bundesliga (9 points from 5 matches) and Union Berlin sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5RB Leipzig53021559
16Union Berlin51135174

A question about RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin?
The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Union Berlin.
Where and when is RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin played?
RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: RB Leipzig and Union Berlin

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