Where and when is FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 07 played?

FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Arena AufSchalke, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Arena AufSchalke, Gelsenkirchen

FC Schalke 04

SC Paderborn 07

The Footlab model makes FC Schalke 04 the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 07?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate FC Schalke 04 (2,061) and SC Paderborn 07 (2,090).

FC Schalke 04 win43 %

Draw24 %

SC Paderborn 07 win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Schalke 04 have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; SC Paderborn 07 have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Schalke 04
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Hallescher FC(away)	5-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Real Madrid(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Atalanta(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Hessen Kassel(away)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

SC Paderborn 07
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Phönix Lübeck(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(home)	2-1	Bundesliga
May 21, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(away)	0-0	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Schalke 04 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SC Paderborn 07 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2026	SC Paderborn 07 2-3 FC Schalke 04	2. Bundesliga
Nov 28, 2025	FC Schalke 04 2-1 SC Paderborn 07	2. Bundesliga
May 2, 2025	FC Schalke 04 0-2 SC Paderborn 07	2. Bundesliga
Dec 6, 2024	SC Paderborn 07 2-4 FC Schalke 04	2. Bundesliga
Mar 9, 2024	FC Schalke 04 3-3 SC Paderborn 07	2. Bundesliga
Sep 29, 2023	SC Paderborn 07 3-1 FC Schalke 04	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Schalke 04 score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SC Paderborn 07 score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Schalke 04	2.1	1.3	5	7/15	11/15
SC Paderborn 07	1.9	1.5	4	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 07?: The Footlab model makes FC Schalke 04 the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 07 played?: FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Arena AufSchalke, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.