Match

FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Arena AufSchalke, Gelsenkirchen

FC Schalke 04SC Paderborn 07

The Footlab AI model makes FC Schalke 04 the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Schalke 04 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 5,241 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 07?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate FC Schalke 04 (2,029) and SC Paderborn 07 (2,085).

48%25%27%
FC Schalke 04 winDrawSC Paderborn 07 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 07

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Schalke 04

5-3-2
  1. 7Hwang Hee-Chan
  2. 19K. Karaman
  1. 13S. Tanaka
  2. 24A. Aouchiche
  3. 23S. El-Faouzi
  1. 4H. Kuruçay
  2. 25N. Katić
  3. 43M. Ayhan
  4. 8R. Gosens
  5. 5T. Becker
  1. 1L. Karius

SC Paderborn 07

3-5-2
  1. 30S. Marino
  2. 2Ruben Müller
  1. 5S. Castañeda
  2. 17L. Curda
  3. 40G. Vidović
  4. 23R. Obermair
  5. 6T. Baack
  1. 21J. ter Horst
  2. 25T. Scheller
  3. 22M. Hansen
  1. 15N. Noll

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Schalke 04 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; SC Paderborn 07 have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Schalke 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)1-2Bundesliga
Oct 31, 2026RB Leipzig(home)0-2Bundesliga
Oct 28, 2026Dynamo Dresden(away)0-2DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 20261. FC Köln(away)0-0Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026FSV Mainz 05(home)0-1Bundesliga
SC Paderborn 07
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 31, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(away)0-0Bundesliga
Oct 28, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)0-1DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 2026Hamburger SV(home)1-0Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026Werder Bremen(away)2-2Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Schalke 04 wins, 1 draw, 2 SC Paderborn 07 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026SC Paderborn 07 2-3 FC Schalke 042. Bundesliga
Nov 28, 2025FC Schalke 04 2-1 SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
May 2, 2025FC Schalke 04 0-2 SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
Dec 6, 2024SC Paderborn 07 2-4 FC Schalke 042. Bundesliga
Mar 9, 2024FC Schalke 04 3-3 SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
Sep 29, 2023SC Paderborn 07 3-1 FC Schalke 042. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Schalke 04 score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SC Paderborn 07 score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Schalke 041.11.454/158/15
SC Paderborn 071.31.156/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Schalke 04 sit 17th in Bundesliga (6 points from 9 matches) and SC Paderborn 07 sit 13th (10 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13SC Paderborn 07924381110
17FC Schalke 0491355116

A question about FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 07?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 07?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Schalke 04 the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 07 played?
FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Arena AufSchalke, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Schalke 04 and SC Paderborn 07

Ready to know everything about football?