Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs Bayer Leverkusen played?

SC Paderborn 07 vs Bayer Leverkusen is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SC Paderborn 07 vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

SC Paderborn 07

Bayer Leverkusen

The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayer Leverkusen starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (2,282 vs 2,090).

SC Paderborn 07 win26 %

Draw23 %

Bayer Leverkusen win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Paderborn 07 have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Bayer Leverkusen have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Paderborn 07
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Phönix Lübeck(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(home)	2-1	Bundesliga
May 21, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(away)	0-0	Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Wehen(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Newcastle(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026	Nottingham Forest(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Sevilla(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SC Paderborn 07 win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Bayer Leverkusen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 29, 2025	SC Paderborn 07 2-4 Bayer Leverkusen	DFB Pokal
Dec 6, 2023	Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 SC Paderborn 07	DFB Pokal
Jul 21, 2023	Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 SC Paderborn 07	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 19, 2020	SC Paderborn 07 1-4 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Oct 29, 2019	Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 SC Paderborn 07	DFB Pokal
Aug 17, 2019	Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 SC Paderborn 07	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Paderborn 07 vs Bayer Leverkusen on Oct 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

SC Paderborn 07 score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bayer Leverkusen score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SC Paderborn 07	1.9	1.5	4	11/15	9/15
Bayer Leverkusen	2.4	1.0	5	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68	47	59

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Paderborn 07 vs Bayer Leverkusen?: The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs Bayer Leverkusen played?: SC Paderborn 07 vs Bayer Leverkusen is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.