Match

FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

FC St. PauliVfL Bochum

The Footlab AI model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for VfL Bochum. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC St. Pauli wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,573 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate FC St. Pauli (1,995) and VfL Bochum (1,975).

43%26%31%
FC St. Pauli winDrawVfL Bochum win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC St. Pauli

3-4-1-2
  1. 7Y. Niang
  2. 9Abdoulie Ceesay
  1. 20M. Rasmussen
  2. 11A. Pyrka
  3. 23L. Oppie
  4. 16J. Fujita
  5. 24C. Metcalfe
  1. 4D. Nemeth
  2. 8E. Smith
  3. 21L. Ritzka
  1. 1B. Voll

VfL Bochum

4-2-3-1
  1. 33P. Hofmann
  1. 34T. Meyer
  2. 23K. Miyoshi
  3. 17G. Holtmann
  4. 24M. Pannewig
  5. 7C. Rasmussen
  1. 15M. Steinwender
  2. 32M. Wittek
  3. 5K. Mets
  4. 2S. Klaiber
  1. 1T. Horn

Computed on October 26, 2026 at 08:29 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC St. Pauli have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; VfL Bochum have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC St. Pauli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 23, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)0-02. Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026Hannover 96(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026Karlsruher SC(home)2-02. Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)1-12. Bundesliga
VfL Bochum
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 23, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 17, 20261. FC Kaiserslautern(away)0-22. Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(home)0-12. Bundesliga
Oct 2, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Hannover 96(away)1-22. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC St. Pauli wins, 2 draws, 4 VfL Bochum wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2025FC St. Pauli 0-2 VfL BochumBundesliga
Jan 15, 2025VfL Bochum 1-0 FC St. PauliBundesliga
Jan 28, 2021FC St. Pauli 2-3 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
Sep 21, 2020VfL Bochum 2-2 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Jun 5, 2020VfL Bochum 2-0 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Nov 8, 2019FC St. Pauli 1-1 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum on May 17, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

FC St. Pauli score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Bochum score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC St. Pauli1.41.3311/157/15
VfL Bochum1.01.037/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC St. Pauli sit 7th in 2. Bundesliga (12 points from 9 matches) and VfL Bochum sit 14th (8 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7FC St. Pauli926111912
14VfL Bochum92256108

A question about FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum?
The Footlab AI model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for VfL Bochum.
Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum played?
FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC St. Pauli and VfL Bochum

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