Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum played?

FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

FC St. Pauli

VfL Bochum

The Footlab model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for VfL Bochum. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate FC St. Pauli (1,962) and VfL Bochum (1,986).

FC St. Pauli win41 %

Draw26 %

VfL Bochum win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC St. Pauli have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; VfL Bochum have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC St. Pauli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	0-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	Holstein Kiel(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Bournemouth(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

VfL Bochum
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	Eintracht Braunschweig(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	0-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Sheffield Utd(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC St. Pauli win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 VfL Bochum win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 17, 2025	FC St. Pauli 0-2 VfL Bochum	Bundesliga
Jan 15, 2025	VfL Bochum 1-0 FC St. Pauli	Bundesliga
Jan 28, 2021	FC St. Pauli 2-3 VfL Bochum	2. Bundesliga
Sep 21, 2020	VfL Bochum 2-2 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Jun 5, 2020	VfL Bochum 2-0 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Nov 8, 2019	FC St. Pauli 1-1 VfL Bochum	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum on May 17, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

FC St. Pauli score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Bochum score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC St. Pauli	1.3	2.0	0	12/15	10/15
VfL Bochum	1.3	1.2	3	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC St. Pauli sit 13th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and VfL Bochum sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	VfL Bochum	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
13	FC St. Pauli	2	0	2	0	3	3	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum?: The Footlab model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for VfL Bochum.
Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum played?: FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.