VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum
The Footlab model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for VfL Wolfsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate VfL Bochum (1,969) and VfL Wolfsburg (2,025).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Bochum have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; VfL Wolfsburg have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Werder Bremen(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hannover 96(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Verl(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 VfL Bochum win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 VfL Wolfsburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 VfL Bochum | Bundesliga |
| Oct 5, 2024 | VfL Bochum 1-3 VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| Apr 20, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg 1-0 VfL Bochum | Bundesliga |
| Dec 2, 2023 | VfL Bochum 3-1 VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| Apr 22, 2023 | VfL Bochum 1-5 VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| Oct 29, 2022 | VfL Wolfsburg 4-0 VfL Bochum | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Bochum on Feb 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
VfL Bochum score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Bochum | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfL Bochum sit 7th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | VfL Bochum | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg?
- The Footlab model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for VfL Wolfsburg.
- Where and when is VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg played?
- VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Vonovia Ruhrstadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 24, 20261. FC Nürnbergvs1. FC Kaiserslautern
- Oct 24, 20261. FC MagdeburgvsKarlsruher SC
- Oct 24, 20261. FC HeidenheimvsEnergie Cottbus
- Oct 24, 2026SV Darmstadt 98vsFC St. Pauli
- Oct 24, 2026Holstein KielvsDynamo Dresden
- Oct 24, 2026Eintracht BraunschweigvsHannover 96
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