Where and when is Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld played?

Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Olympiastadion Berlin, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin

Hertha BSC

Arminia Bielefeld

The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Arminia Bielefeld. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Hertha BSC (2,036) and Arminia Bielefeld (2,010).

Hertha BSC win50 %

Draw24 %

Arminia Bielefeld win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha BSC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Arminia Bielefeld have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hertha BSC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Saarbrücken(away)	1-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(home)	4-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026	VfL Bochum(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026	1. FC Köln(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	Mamelodi Sundowns(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Arminia Bielefeld
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	2-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Energie Cottbus(home)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	1-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 25, 2026	MSV Duisburg(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Bologna(away)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hertha BSC win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Arminia Bielefeld win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld 6-1 Hertha BSC	2. Bundesliga
Dec 19, 2025	Hertha BSC 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga
Apr 30, 2022	Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 Hertha BSC	Bundesliga
Dec 11, 2021	Hertha BSC 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld	Bundesliga
May 9, 2021	Hertha BSC 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld	Bundesliga
Jan 10, 2021	Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 Hertha BSC	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hertha BSC	2.8	1.3	3	9/15	8/15
Arminia Bielefeld	2.6	1.4	3	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hertha BSC sit 2nd in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Hertha BSC	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
6	Arminia Bielefeld	2	1	0	1	4	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?: The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Arminia Bielefeld.
Where and when is Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld played?: Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Olympiastadion Berlin, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.