Match

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dynamo Dresden wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Holstein Kiel (1,970) and Dynamo Dresden (1,981).

34%25%41%
Holstein Kiel winDrawDynamo Dresden win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Holstein Kiel

4-1-4-1
  1. 19P. Harres
  1. 28J. Meffert
  2. 20A. Kaprálik
  3. 8G. Balzi
  4. 15K. Davidsen
  5. 10J. Therkelsen
  1. 26D. Zec
  2. 32H. Sekine
  3. 40Leon Parduzi
  4. 13I. Nekić
  1. 1T. Weiner

Dynamo Dresden

4-2-3-1
  1. 9V. Vermeij
  1. 18R. Wagner
  2. 20B. Bobzien
  3. 6N. Rapp
  4. 27N. Hauptmann
  5. 24P. Čović
  1. 17A. Muhamedbegović
  2. 19A. Rossipal
  3. 32J. Sterner
  4. 44S. Straudi
  1. 1T. Schreiber

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Dynamo Dresden have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Viborg(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Sep 13, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Sep 5, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)2-22. Bundesliga
Aug 30, 20261. FC Magdeburg(away)0-22. Bundesliga
Dynamo Dresden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Teplice(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Hertha BSC(home)1-22. Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)2-22. Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026VfL Bochum(home)1-22. Bundesliga
Aug 29, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)3-52. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Holstein Kiel wins, 1 draw, 1 Dynamo Dresden win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Dynamo Dresden 2-1 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2025Holstein Kiel 2-1 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Apr 16, 2022Dynamo Dresden 0-0 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Nov 5, 2021Holstein Kiel 2-1 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Jun 18, 2020Holstein Kiel 2-0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Nov 30, 2019Dynamo Dresden 1-2 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Holstein Kiel score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Dresden score 2.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holstein Kiel1.51.7111/1511/15
Dynamo Dresden2.91.558/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holstein Kiel sit 16th in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 6 matches) and Dynamo Dresden sit 17th (4 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Holstein Kiel60427104
17Dynamo Dresden61148144

A question about Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?
The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden played?
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Holstein Kiel and Dynamo Dresden

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