Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden played?

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein Kiel

Dynamo Dresden

The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Holstein Kiel (1,976) and Dynamo Dresden (1,998).

Holstein Kiel win29 %

Draw25 %

Dynamo Dresden win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Dynamo Dresden have 10, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holstein Kiel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	TSV 1860 München(away)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FSV Mainz 05(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

Dynamo Dresden
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Westfalia Rhynern(away)	6-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(home)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(away)	0-3	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Union Berlin(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Energie Cottbus(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Holstein Kiel win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Dynamo Dresden win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Dynamo Dresden 2-1 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2025	Holstein Kiel 2-1 Dynamo Dresden	2. Bundesliga
Apr 16, 2022	Dynamo Dresden 0-0 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
Nov 5, 2021	Holstein Kiel 2-1 Dynamo Dresden	2. Bundesliga
Jun 18, 2020	Holstein Kiel 2-0 Dynamo Dresden	2. Bundesliga
Nov 30, 2019	Dynamo Dresden 1-2 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Holstein Kiel	1.7	1.5	4	10/15	12/15
Dynamo Dresden	2.8	0.9	8	5/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holstein Kiel sit 12th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and Dynamo Dresden sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Dynamo Dresden	2	1	0	1	1	3	3
12	Holstein Kiel	2	0	2	0	4	4	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?: The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden played?: Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.