1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nürnberg
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for 1. FC Kaiserslautern. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate 1. FC Nürnberg (2,015) and 1. FC Kaiserslautern (1,990).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Nürnberg have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; 1. FC Kaiserslautern have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(away) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away) | 4-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 1. FC Nürnberg win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 1. FC Kaiserslautern win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg 3-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1-1 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 12, 2025 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1-2 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1. FC Nürnberg 0-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1. FC Nürnberg 1-1 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2-0 1. FC Nürnberg | DFB Pokal |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Kaiserslautern score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nürnberg | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Kaiserslautern sit 14th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
- The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
- Where and when is 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern played?
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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