VfL Wolfsburg vs Napoli: result 1-4 and analysis
UEFA Europa LeagueQuarter-finalsKick-off on April 16, 2015 at 07:05 PM (UTC)Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
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What was the result of VfL Wolfsburg vs Napoli?
Napoli won 1-4 on April 16, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 15′G. HiguaínNapoli
- 23′M. HamšíkNapoli
- 64′M. HamšíkNapoli
- 76′M. GabbiadiniNapoli
- 80′N. BendtnerVfL Wolfsburg
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Wolfsburg have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Napoli have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | Hamburger SV(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Apr 7, 2015 | SC Freiburg(home) | 1-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Apr 4, 2015 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 3-1 | Bundesliga |
| Mar 22, 2015 | FSV Mainz 05(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Mar 19, 2015 | Inter(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2015 | Fiorentina(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Apr 4, 2015 | AS Roma(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Mar 22, 2015 | Atalanta(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Mar 19, 2015 | Dynamo(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Mar 15, 2015 | Hellas Verona(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
VfL Wolfsburg score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Napoli score 1.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Napoli | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy