VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for 1. FC Heidenheim. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate VfL Wolfsburg (2,034) and 1. FC Heidenheim (1,969).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Wolfsburg have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; 1. FC Heidenheim have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 3-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hannover 96(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 2-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hertha BSC(away) | 1-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 4-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 VfL Wolfsburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 1. FC Heidenheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 1. FC Heidenheim | Bundesliga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1-3 VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 1. FC Heidenheim | Bundesliga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1-3 VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1-1 VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| Aug 19, 2023 | VfL Wolfsburg 2-0 1. FC Heidenheim | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Heidenheim score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Heidenheim sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
- The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for 1. FC Heidenheim.
- Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim played?
- VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Hannover 96vsFC St. Pauli
- Oct 17, 2026SpVgg Greuther FürthvsEintracht Braunschweig
- Oct 17, 2026Dynamo Dresdenvs1. FC Magdeburg
- Oct 17, 2026Arminia BielefeldvsVfL Osnabrück
- Oct 17, 2026Holstein KielvsHertha BSC
- Oct 17, 20261. FC KaiserslauternvsVfL Bochum
- Oct 17, 2026Karlsruher SCvsSV Darmstadt 98
- Oct 17, 2026Energie Cottbusvs1. FC Nürnberg