VfR Neumünster vs Oldenburger SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 12Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Grümmi-Arena, Neumünster
The Footlab model makes VfR Neumünster the favourite at 63%, against 17% for a draw and 20% for Oldenburger SV. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfR Neumünster vs Oldenburger SV?
VfR Neumünster starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,854 vs 1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Neumünster have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Oldenburger SV have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Phönix L. II(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Heider SV(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Union Neumünster(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lübeck II(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 VfR Neumünster win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Oldenburger SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | VfR Neumünster 3-1 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Oldenburger SV 0-4 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Apr 13, 2025 | VfR Neumünster 2-1 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Oldenburger SV 3-1 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Mar 3, 2024 | VfR Neumünster 0-1 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Oldenburger SV 1-0 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: VfR Neumünster vs Oldenburger SV on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfR Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Oldenburger SV score 1.9 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfR Neumünster | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Oldenburger SV | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfR Neumünster sit 1st in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (13 points from 5 matches) and Oldenburger SV sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfR Neumünster | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
| 9 | Oldenburger SV | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfR Neumünster vs Oldenburger SV?
- The Footlab model makes VfR Neumünster the favourite at 63%, against 17% for a draw and 20% for Oldenburger SV.
- Where and when is VfR Neumünster vs Oldenburger SV played?
- VfR Neumünster vs Oldenburger SV is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Grümmi-Arena, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.