Viking vs Tromso: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Lyse Arena, Stavanger
The Footlab AI model makes Viking the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Tromso. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Viking vs Tromso?
Viking starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (2,210 vs 2,024).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Viking vs Tromso
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Viking
4-4-2- 20P. Christiansen
- 22E. Botheim
- 10Z. Tripić
- 7K. Askildsen
- 8J. Bell
- 16H. Bjørdal
- 6G. Stensness
- 5H. Heggheim
- 28K. Haugen
- 25H. Falchener
- 1A. Østbø
Tromso
5-3-2- 22H. Larsen
- 10T. Nyhammer
- 11R. Jenssen
- 70M. Bjørlo
- 5D. Edvardsson
- 30I. Vådebu
- 29A. Warneryd
- 21L. Hien
- 37S. Innvær
- 4V. Skjærvik
- 1J. Haugaard
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Viking have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Tromso have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Brann(away) | 2-0 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Madla(away) | 3-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(home) | 8-1 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Alta(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rosenborg(away) | 3-5 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(away) | 0-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Viking wins, 3 draws, 0 Tromso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Tromso 1-1 Viking | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Tromso 1-3 Viking | Eliteserien |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Viking 4-4 Tromso | Eliteserien |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Tromso 2-2 Viking | Eliteserien |
| May 5, 2024 | Viking 2-1 Tromso | Eliteserien |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Viking 1-0 Tromso | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Viking score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tromso score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking | 2.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Tromso | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Viking sit 1st in Eliteserien (53 points from 22 matches) and Tromso sit 3rd (39 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | Tromso | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 30 | 39 |
A question about Viking vs Tromso?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Viking vs Tromso?
- The Footlab AI model makes Viking the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Tromso.
- Where and when is Viking vs Tromso played?
- Viking vs Tromso is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Lyse Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.