Start vs Sandefjord: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sparebanken Sør Arena, Kristiansand
The Footlab AI model makes Sandefjord the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Start. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sandefjord wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Start vs Sandefjord?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Start (1,869) and Sandefjord (1,958).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Start vs Sandefjord
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Start
5-3-2- 20H. Lorentzen
- 17J. Cornelius
- 23E. Segberg
- 10S. Mvoué
- 18M. Ugland
- 3A. Ujkani
- 29E. Reitan
- 6J. Norheim
- 5S. Granheim
- 12D. Dashaev
- 26M. Sjøeng
Sandefjord
4-3-3- 7E. Patoulidis
- 27J. Dunsby
- 9O. Kapskarmo
- 6S. Mørk
- 8T. Børkeeiet
- 10E. Gigović
- 44X. Lambrix
- 13R. Holten
- 5G. Højbjerg
- 4F. Pedersen
- 30E. Hadaya
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Start have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Sandefjord have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 2-4 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Raufoss(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Brann(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sandefjord(away) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Vindbjart(away) | 3-2 | NM Cupen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rosenborg(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Flint(away) | 1-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Start(home) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(away) | 2-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Viking(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Start win, 2 draws, 3 Sandefjord wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sandefjord 3-0 Start | Eliteserien |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sandefjord 3-2 Start | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Start 1-0 Sandefjord | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2021 | Start 1-1 Sandefjord | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Start 0-1 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
| Jun 21, 2020 | Sandefjord 2-2 Start | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Start score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sandefjord score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Start | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Sandefjord | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Start sit 16th in Eliteserien (16 points from 22 matches) and Sandefjord sit 12th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 24 |
| 16 | Start | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 24 | 48 | 16 |
A question about Start vs Sandefjord?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Start vs Sandefjord?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sandefjord the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Start.
- Where and when is Start vs Sandefjord played?
- Start vs Sandefjord is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sparebanken Sør Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.