Start vs Sandefjord: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sparebanken Sør Arena, Kristiansand
The Footlab model makes Start the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Sandefjord. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Start vs Sandefjord?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Start (1,845) and Sandefjord (1,942).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Start have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Sandefjord have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Flekkefjord(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fredrikstad(home) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Viking(home) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Rosenborg(home) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eidanger(away) | 15-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 7, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(home) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Start win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Sandefjord win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sandefjord 3-2 Start | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Start 1-0 Sandefjord | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2021 | Start 1-1 Sandefjord | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Start 0-1 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
| Jun 21, 2020 | Sandefjord 2-2 Start | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2019 | Sandefjord 0-0 Start | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Start score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sandefjord score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Start | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Sandefjord | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Start sit 16th in Eliteserien (10 points from 17 matches) and Sandefjord sit 13th (18 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sandefjord | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 23 | 18 |
| 16 | Start | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Start vs Sandefjord?
- The Footlab model makes Start the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Sandefjord.
- Where and when is Start vs Sandefjord played?
- Start vs Sandefjord is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sparebanken Sør Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.