Sandefjord vs Tromso: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Jotun Arena, Sandefjord
The Footlab AI model makes Tromso the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Sandefjord. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tromso wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sandefjord vs Tromso?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Sandefjord (1,978) and Tromso (2,044).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sandefjord vs Tromso
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sandefjord
4-3-3- 7E. Patoulidis
- 27J. Dunsby
- 9O. Kapskarmo
- 6S. Mørk
- 8T. Børkeeiet
- 10E. Gigović
- 44X. Lambrix
- 13R. Holten
- 5G. Højbjerg
- 4F. Pedersen
- 30E. Hadaya
Tromso
5-3-2- 22H. Larsen
- 10T. Nyhammer
- 11R. Jenssen
- 70M. Bjørlo
- 5D. Edvardsson
- 30I. Vådebu
- 29A. Warneryd
- 21L. Hien
- 37S. Innvær
- 4V. Skjærvik
- 1J. Haugaard
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sandefjord have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Tromso have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rosenborg(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Flint(away) | 1-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Start(home) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(away) | 2-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Viking(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Alta(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rosenborg(away) | 3-5 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(away) | 0-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sandefjord wins, 0 draws, 4 Tromso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tromso 3-1 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Sandefjord 1-0 Tromso | Eliteserien |
| May 4, 2025 | Tromso 0-1 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Tromso 3-0 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
| Jul 3, 2024 | Sandefjord 1-2 Tromso | Eliteserien |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Tromso 1-0 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Sandefjord score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tromso score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandefjord | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Tromso | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sandefjord sit 12th in Eliteserien (24 points from 22 matches) and Tromso sit 3rd (39 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tromso | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 24 |
A question about Sandefjord vs Tromso?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sandefjord vs Tromso?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tromso the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Sandefjord.
- Where and when is Sandefjord vs Tromso played?
- Sandefjord vs Tromso is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Jotun Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.