Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Briskeby Arena, Hamar
The Footlab AI model makes Rosenborg the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Ham-Kam. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rosenborg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg?
Rosenborg starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (2,030 vs 1,916).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ham-Kam
5-3-2- 11M. Ofkir
- 28David Benjamin
- 14L. Mares
- 8M. Johnsgård
- 26P. Metcalfe
- 3E. Amundsen-Day
- 22S. Nilsen
- 23F. Sjølstad
- 2M. Gjone
- 7V. Jónsson
- 12M. Sandberg
Rosenborg
4-4-2- 35E. Ceïde
- 18Amin Chiakha
- 10O. Selnæs
- 17M. Bomholt
- 7S. Nordli
- 11N. Sahsah
- 19A. Pereira
- 21T. Nemčík
- 4M. Ceïde
- 16A. Witry
- 1L. Wahlstedt
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ham-Kam have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Rosenborg have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tromso(away) | 2-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kjelsås(away) | 2-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Molde(home) | 1-5 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rosenborg(away) | 0-4 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(home) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(away) | 3-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fløya(away) | 4-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tromso(home) | 5-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 4-0 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ham-Kam wins, 0 draws, 4 Rosenborg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rosenborg 4-0 Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Ham-Kam 4-0 Rosenborg | Eliteserien |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Rosenborg 2-0 Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Ham-Kam 0-2 Rosenborg | Eliteserien |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Rosenborg 1-0 Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Ham-Kam 3-0 Rosenborg | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Ham-Kam score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rosenborg score 3.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ham-Kam | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Rosenborg | 3.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ham-Kam sit 13th in Eliteserien (23 points from 21 matches) and Rosenborg sit 5th (33 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rosenborg | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 33 |
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 44 | 23 |
A question about Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rosenborg the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Ham-Kam.
- Where and when is Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg played?
- Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Briskeby Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.